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sharifi, kokab, Rahnamay Roodposhti, Fereydon, Mohammadzadeh, Amir, nikoumaram, Hashem, Hamidi, Naser. (1402). Designing a proper model and software program to evaluate and predict credit risk of small and medium‑sized enterprises in commercial banks. , 8(31), 1-12. doi: 10.30495/ijfma.2023.21713
kokab sharifi; Fereydon Rahnamay Roodposhti; Amir Mohammadzadeh; Hashem nikoumaram; Naser Hamidi. "Designing a proper model and software program to evaluate and predict credit risk of small and medium‑sized enterprises in commercial banks". , 8, 31, 1402, 1-12. doi: 10.30495/ijfma.2023.21713
sharifi, kokab, Rahnamay Roodposhti, Fereydon, Mohammadzadeh, Amir, nikoumaram, Hashem, Hamidi, Naser. (1402). 'Designing a proper model and software program to evaluate and predict credit risk of small and medium‑sized enterprises in commercial banks', , 8(31), pp. 1-12. doi: 10.30495/ijfma.2023.21713
sharifi, kokab, Rahnamay Roodposhti, Fereydon, Mohammadzadeh, Amir, nikoumaram, Hashem, Hamidi, Naser. Designing a proper model and software program to evaluate and predict credit risk of small and medium‑sized enterprises in commercial banks. , 1402; 8(31): 1-12. doi: 10.30495/ijfma.2023.21713

Designing a proper model and software program to evaluate and predict credit risk of small and medium‑sized enterprises in commercial banks

International Journal of Finance & Managerial Accounting
دوره 8، شماره 31، آذر 2023، صفحه 1-12  XML اصل مقاله (755.5 K)
نوع مقاله: Original Article
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30495/ijfma.2023.21713
نویسندگان
kokab sharifi1؛ Fereydon Rahnamay Roodposhti email 2؛ Amir Mohammadzadeh3؛ Hashem nikoumaramorcid 4؛ Naser Hamidi5
1Ph.D. Student, Department of Financial Management, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran
2Professor of financial management, Department of Financial Management, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
3Assistant Professor of financial management, ,Department of Financial Management, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran
4Professor of financial management, Department of Business Management, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
5Associate Professor of Industrial management, Department of Industrial Management, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran
چکیده
Globalization and, consequently, intensifying the competition between banks and financial institutions in domestic and foreign financial markets increase significantly the importance and requirement of strengthening and modifying systems in financial enterprises. Banks are no exception. Credit risk assessment is one of the most significant components of the granted facilities process. Small and medium enterprises are the majority of customers of commercial banks; hence, it is possible that designing a credit risk system considerably helps banks to manage credit risk.
This study aims to introduce a new approach to predict and assess the credit risk of small and medium-sized enterprises. To this end, we identified the indices effective on the credit risk of medium and small-sized enterprises and determined significant indices by selecting the feature. We selected 98 cases of medium and small-sized legal clients in the industrial sector for research data from one of the commercial banks during the years 2018-2020. We then implemented the logit regression models, artificial neural network, and hybrid model (fuzzy expert system, logit, and artificial neural network) in order to predict and assess customers' credit risk and also calculated the accuracy of the models. Ultimately, we have designed the program applying visual studio software. We calculated the customer using logit regression models, artificial neural network, and hybrid model according to the designed program by inserting each customer's information and we also determined credit rating and type of collateral of each customer based on customer risk.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Credit risk؛ Logit regression؛ Artificial neural network؛ Fuzzy expert system؛ Small and medium-sized enterprises
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